Prospect of military confrontation and cross-Straits confidence-building mechanism for military security
【Abstract】Based on the analysis of the dialectical relationship between military confrontation and confidence-building mechanism for military security, new military security strategy is proposed, which is conducive to establishing the confidence-building mechanism for military security and creating permanent peace across the Taiwan Straits. Basic features of the new military security strategy are aiming at maintaining the peaceful development of cross-Straits relations, focusing not only on how to win the war, but also on how to regain peace by war and how to prevent new wars during peacetime. Viewing all sides’ military security strategies by this standard, it can be concluded that Chinese mainland highly combines military strategy with political strategy, which provides much possibility that military can serve politics and the peaceful development of cross-Straits relations; Taiwan authorities and the United States insist on policies of “economy but not politics” and “peace without reconciliation,” which make their “wish for peace” hard to be realized on the level of military security strategy, and become the fundamental obstacle for the cross-Straits confidence-building mechanism for military security.
【Keywords】 Confidence-building mechanism for military security; military confrontation; cross-Straits relations;
(Translated by LU Jie)
 Similar explanations can be found in “The National Defense Report” published by the Taiwan authorities in recent years and conversations of Defense Department leaders.
 Carl Von Clausewitz. On War (Volume I) (战争论上卷). The Academy of Military Sciences of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (trans.) Beijing: People's Liberation Army Publishing House, 731-732 (1964).
 HU Jintao, Jointly Promote the Peace and Development of the Relationship across the Taiwan Straits and Realize Great Revitalization of Chinese Nation—Speech at the Forum of the 30th Anniversary of the Message to Compatriots in Taiwan. Xinhua News Agency (新华社), (2008-12-31).
 For example, issues of “promise of no war”, missile deployment, Taiwan purchase of armament did not exist in the early years after 1949, and rarely happen in other civil war countries, which indicates the wide range and high level of the cross-Straits hostility.
 Civil war is a military fight among two or more political societies of the same nation. It can be for the purpose of seizing political power, and can also be for the purpose of separating a region from the nation to establish a new nation in the demand of some people. Refer to Law of Armed Conflict (武装冲突法), Yu, Z. (eds.) Beijing: Military Sciences Publishing House, 42–43 (2001).
 Because Taiwan’s Grand Justice Interpretation No. 644 proclaimed that the rules of “not [to] advocate communist or separate the territory” in the “Law of People’s Society” to be unconstitutional in 2008, “Legislative Yuan” passed the first reading to delete Article II of the  “Law of People’s Society” that “the organizations and activities of people’s society should not advocate communist or separate the territory.” Refer to Removal of the rule of “no territory separation” from Taiwan “Law of People’s Society,” (台“人团法”删“不得主张分裂国土”条款) Taihai Net, (2011-5-17).
 The distinction of positive confidence and negative confidence is inspired by Yin Jiwu, with references to opinions of Tang Yongsheng and Xu Qiyu. Refer to Tang, Y. & Xu, Q. Xunqiu Fuza de Pingheng: Guoji Anquan Jizhi yu Zhuquan Guojia de Canyu (寻求复杂的平衡：国际安全机制与主权国家的参与). Beijing: World Affairs Press, 27 (2004).
 The author has distinguished the international confidence building measures as symmetric and asymmetric, and put forward the idea that the cross-Straits military security mutual trust mechanism embodies the asymmetric feature. Refer to Shi, X. Taiwan Yanjiu (台湾研究), (1) (2011).
 Huang, J. Chinese new core leaders’ adjustment and innovation of policies towards Taiwan. China Review News (中国评论新闻网), (2006-3-24).
 This is the explanation from The One-China Principle and the Taiwan Question, (2001-2-21). Refer to Renmin Ribao (人民日报), (3) (2000-2-22).
 Carl Von Clausewitz. On War (Volume I). The Academy of Military Sciences of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (trans.) Beijing: People’s Liberation Army Publishing House, 31 (1964).
 HU Jintao, Jointly Promote the Peace and Development of the Relationship across the Taiwan Straits and Realize Great Revitalization of Chinese Nation—Speech at the Forum of the 30th Anniversary of the Message to Compatriots in Taiwan. Xinhua News Agency (新华社), (2008-12-31); Firmly March on the Path of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics and Strive to Complete the Building of A Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects, Renmin Ribao (人民日报), (4) (2012-11-18).