Accounting gap between China’s real and nominal trade balance with Asia-Pacific economies from the perspective of global value chains

SHAO Jun1 LIU Jiawei1

(1.School of Economics & Management, Southeast University)

【Abstract】Based on the World Input-Output Tables and the decomposition framework proposed by Wang et al.(2017), this paper calculates the accounting gap between China’s real and nominal balance of trade with major Asia-Pacific economies. The results indicate that China’s nominal trade surplus has been largely overestimated, with about 24% of the nominal value as the overestimated component. The largest accounting gap exists in the trade with the US, South Korea, and China’s Taiwan, with nominal surplus significantly overestimated in the trade with the US and nominal deficit substantially underestimated in the trade with South Korea and China’s Taiwan. Manufacturing industries, especially those highly involved in the global value chains (GVCs), contribute the most to the accounting gap. It is noteworthy that despite a nominal deficit in China’s high-end service export, there is indeed a real and growing surplus from the perspective of value-added trade. In the context of GVCs, the accounting gap between real and nominal trade balance has become a stylized fact.

【Keywords】 global value chain; trade balance; accounting gap;

【DOI】

【Funds】 the National Social Science Fund of China (14CJL020); General Project of the Policy Guidance Program (Soft Science Program) of Jiangsu Province (SBR2017039).

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    [1]. ① High-end services include publishing, film, video, TV, the production, distribution and broadcasting of music programs, telecommunications services, computer programming, consulting, information services, financial services, insurance, reinsurance, legal services, accounting services, construction and design services, technology testing and analysis, R&D services, advertising and market research services, other specialized technology services, and other modern services. [^Back]

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This Article

ISSN:1002-4670

CN: 11-1692/F

Vol , No. 04, Pages 48-59

April 2018

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Article Outline

Abstract

  • Introduction
  • 1 Accounting method and data description
  • 2 Accounting results and comparative analysis
  • 3 Conclusion and comments
  • Footnote

    References